Sunday, April 16, 2017

Group 7 Week 3: Renewable Subsidies

“Measure twice and cut once.”  This is what my father always used to tell me especially when I would help him with carpentry projects around the house.  The takeaway of the saying is to make sure you have gotten the measurement correct before you cut the piece of wood.  If you cut the piece too short, it becomes scrap; however, if you incorrectly cut it too long, you got lucky, and can go back and cut again.  It is a more conservative approach, but when you are working within a constrained budget, like the Unite State’s budget, it makes sense to make sure we get it right before we cut.  This approach is how the U.S. should approach subsidies for renewable energy sources.  Get the prices comparable to our other options via research and development prior to implementing the more expensive technology.

There are many forms of subsidies for renewable energy being given out at the moment.  In many cases, these subsidies incentivize businesses to build infrastructure and plants that produce electricity that cannot compete with fossil fuels.  A few of these subsidies will be explained.
The Investment Tax Incentive is a tax deduction incentive for any individual or business that builds and uses a form of renewable energy.  Think of this is a small company buying solar panels to put on its roof to produce electricity.  The company is permitted to take 30% of the cost of building the solar panels and write that off as a loss on its taxes.  Essentially, if the business profited $100k in the year, and the solar panels cost $200k to build, the business could reduce its profit by $60k ($200k * 30%).  The company will now be taxed on only $40k. [1,2]  This subsidy is incentivizing businesses to implement expensive electricity producing options.

Similarly, there is also what is known as the Production Tax Incentive.  In most cases, if the business owner or personal owner decide to forego the Investment Tax Incentive, the owner can opt into this form of payment.  This incentive gives the owner of the electricity producing unit anywhere from one to two cents per kWh for the first ten years of production.  This does not sound like a whole lot, but check your latest bill.  If you are in the northeast you will see generation charges are approximately seven cents per kWh.  This is essentially giving the producer of renewable energy a 29% markup (I don’t understand) to the rest of the electricity generating competition.  Again, this subsidy incentivizes businesses to implement expensive electricity producing options. [3]

The Production Tax Incentive is even more useful when you are in a state that permits Net Metering.  Net Metering allows those companies or individuals with solar installed to sell any unused electricity on to the grid.  When the meter reader comes by to determine how much electricity was used that month, the meter, in theory, could be less than the previous month.  In that instance, the electric utility would have to pay the electricity producer for the electricity they put on the grid.  The subsidy is logical; however, it again incentivizes implementation of more expensive electricity producing options.  [4]

The last subsidy we will cover is the Loan Guarantee Program.  This is exactly what it sounds like.  To ensure that large renewable projects can receive private funding, the federal government has guaranteed the loans.  If the company were to default on the loan at any time, the government will step in and ensure the payments are made.  Another incentive to build, even though it is a more expensive option. [5]

Those were some of the main types of subsidies that are offered to the renewable energy industry.  Now let’s take a look at what we are getting for those subsidies.  The scope of this discussion will be limited to subsidies in the United States.  The fairest way to look at these subsidies is on a per kWh basis.  There are many arguments that fossil fuels are subsidized more than renewable energy and that renewables could compete if they were on a level playing field.  Let’s dispel that myth right now.  Excluding externalities (talking only real money here), here is what the U.S. spent on subsidies in 2013 and what that comes out to on a per MMBtu basis:

[6]

We are spending a lot of money on a per MMBtu basis on wind and solar, which would be fine if that money was being spent on more R&D and less on implementing these technologies that clearly need large amounts of subsidies to compete.  We are simply not getting the bang for our buck.


When you look at all the programs available for renewable energy, and the amount of energy the United States currently gets from renewable subsidies compared to other options, there is a lopsided incentive for businesses to continue building these expensive renewable infrastructure projects, with less of an incentive to take a step back and really drive down the cost.  Renewable energy will struggle for the foreseeable future unless the costs are driven down through subsidies/R&D spending incentivizing such actions.   



[1]  Energy.gov. Business Energy Investment Tax Credit. https://energy.gov/savings/business-energy-investment-tax-credit-itc

[2] SEIA. Impacts of Solar Investment Tax Credit Extension. http://www.seia.org/research-resources/impacts-solar-investment-tax-credit-extension

[3] Energy.gov. Renewable Electricity Production Tax Credit. https://energy.gov/savings/renewable-electricity-production-tax-credit-ptc



3 comments:

  1. This was an informative post and I thought the conclusion at the end was firm and logical. I agree that, today, capital would be better spent in research than development for renewables and that capital reallocation would likely benefit renewable energy firms in the long-term. Plus, renewables by nature have a long-term advantage as their sources cannot be exhausted like oil, coal, natural gas, and nuclear can, so finding the best way to develop renewables is more important than inefficiently doing so as soon as possible.

    To play devil's advocate, I think there's a case that increased scale will help drive down costs for renewable sources, so subsidies can add value as firms realize cost efficiency with scale. On a closely-related note, there's a barrier to entry in power that unfairly serves established sources such as coal, nuclear, and natural gas. If a subsidy lowers that barrier, then renewable sources will be allowed a seat at the table. Subsidies don't (usually) last forever, so renewables will still have to compete on costs eventually.

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  2. “Get the prices comparable to our other options via research and development prior to implementing the more expensive technology.” Not sure what this means? If we got the prices right, then wouldn’t the technology NOT be expensive?

    Appreciate the very clear-language descriptions of the various forms of subsidy. Nice job.

    Your argument boils down to the statement that the gov should subsidize R&D and not the production of technologies developed with the R&D. Let’s put aside the fact that the gov does subsidize lots of R&D for renewables (I don’t know the numbers … it’d be interesting to know how big they are relative to subsidizing generation).* ARPA-e is a good example (on the list of stuff to get slashed by Trump Admin). The basis for your argument is that we’d get a lot more “bang for the buck,” and wouldn’t end up incentivizing expensive technologies. But how do we know that we’d a bang-for-the research buck? Wouldn’t this be even harder to measure? It’s surely the case that lots of R&D doesn’t work out. I’m reminded of the old accounting adage: “be conservative …. expense research, capitalize development.” Suggestion: a more effective argument wouldn’t just say that we are subsidizing expensive stuff … it would consider the alternatives.

    ps: your father sounds like a wise man. I do some home carpentry myself and heretofore will follow his sage advice!

    *Fracking (in its modern form) is a good example of what you are arguing for. The R&D that led to this massive U.S. technological development benefited from substantial government subsidies: See https://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/21/business/economy/washingtons-role-in-oil-prices-recent-fall.html?_r=1

    Grading Rubric (badly formatted because comments don’t allow formatting)
    Possible “grades:” Excellent (E), Very Good (VG), Good (G), Could be Better(CBB)
    Takes a clear position: VG
    Substantiates the position: CBB
    Informs the casual reader: E
    Clarity/quality of exposition: VG

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  3. I appreciate the breakdown of other methods of subsidizing renewables besides the Investment Tax Credit, and the table of comparative subsidies.

    I agree with Nick that there is something to economies of scale when looking at something like this. There is a clear correlation between the capacity of solar installation and cost per kWh of solar. These initial subsidies are clearly a contributor to making that possible.
    Maybe more important would be t see how subsidies compare based on the maturity of the market. I imagine that traditional fossil fuel plants were also heavily subsidized initially and that, as the market matured, subsidies were rolled back. That is not to say that renewables subsidy numbers are completely justified, just that supporting technologies through at least demonstration phase has been par for the course.
    A final thought. The subsidy chart breaks down wind and solar out of renewables. Wind and Solar appear to be the main large scale, production level renewable technologies currently being funded by these subsidies and they are at only 5x that of fossil fuels, an industry much more mature. Which renewables are included in the 13x subsidy and where do they currently stand in terms of market readiness.
    Again, I really appreciate putting the numbers in to compare these. I feel like I rarely see quantitative examples of how these compare. Though I do feel that social cost should be taken into consideration, but that's a personal gripe.

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